Thursday, October 30, 2008

God I hate PLO (Variance)

Let's take a look at the big losing hands of the day:

Full Tilt Poker $1/$2 Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 6 players

The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter



CO: $195.35

Hero (BTN): $308.20

SB: $275.40

BB: $214.00

UTG: $160.00

MP: $313.55


Pre Flop: ($3.00) Hero is BTN with A J 9 8

1 fold, MP calls $2, 1 fold, Hero raises to $9, 2 folds, MP calls $7


Flop: ($21.00) 4 7 6 (2 players)

MP checks, Hero bets $19.50, MP raises to $79.50, Hero raises to $185, MP raises to $290.50, Hero raises to $299.20 all in, MP calls $8.70


Turn: ($619.40) Q (2 players - 1 is all in)


River: ($619.40) Q (2 players - 1 is all in)


Final Pot: $619.40

Hero shows A J 9 8 (a pair of Queens)

MP shows 9 3 5 5 (a straight, Seven high)

MP wins $616.40

(Rake: $3.00)



Pretty standard semi-bluff against a guy who can't let go of his idiot end w/ no re-draw... oh, did I say semi-bluff? I meant value-bet. I had 51% equity.

Full Tilt Poker $1/$2 Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 6 players

The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter


MP: $184.25

Hero (CO): $335.15

BTN: $395.20

SB: $157.50

BB: $222.00

UTG: $349.95

Pre Flop: ($3.00) Hero is CO with 6 8 6 4

UTG calls $2, 1 fold, Hero calls $2, 1 fold, SB calls $1, BB checks


Flop: ($8.00) 8 6 4 (4 players)

SB checks, BB bets $2, UTG folds, Hero calls $2, SB raises to $8, BB folds, Hero calls $6


Turn: ($26.00) K (2 players)

SB bets $22, Hero requests TIME, Hero calls $22


River: ($70.00) 2 (2 players)

SB bets $42, Hero raises to $196, SB calls $83.50 all in


Final Pot: $321.00

Hero shows 6 8 6 4 (three of a kind, Sixes)

SB shows 7 5 T A (a flush, Ace high)

SB wins $318.00

(Rake: $3.00)



Maybe a little less standard, but I make that play all day long against a reg. I assumed he had the 75, so I was drawing to a board-pair to win or a diamond to bluff. Unfortunately he had the NFD that I was representing. At least it was a reg, so perhaps this fail might pay some dividends in the future.

Full Tilt Poker $1/$2 Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 6 players

The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter



MP: $162.85

CO: $80.25

BTN: $179.75

Hero (SB): $318.85

BB: $138.80

UTG: $413.90


Pre Flop: ($3.00) Hero is SB with 4 5 Q Q

UTG calls $2, MP calls $2, CO calls $2, BTN calls $2, Hero calls $1, BB checks


Flop: ($12.00) Q A 8 (6 players)

Hero bets $11, BB folds, UTG folds, MP calls $11, CO folds, BTN calls $11


Turn: ($45.00) 5 (3 players)

Hero bets $37, MP folds, BTN calls $37


River: ($119.00) 6 (2 players)

Hero bets $70, BTN raises to $129.75 all in, Hero calls $59.75


Final Pot: $378.50

BTN shows 8 8 7 4 (a straight, Eight high)

Hero mucks 4 5 Q Q

BTN wins $375.50

(Rake: $3.00)



Set over set turns into a bit of a clusterfuck. Oh well, I just had 90% equity on the flop and 73% on the turn.
Full Tilt Poker $1/$2 Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 6 players

The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter



MP: $152.65

CO: $87.25

BTN: $186.75

Hero (SB): $334.85

BB: $141.80

UTG: $399.70


Pre Flop: ($3.00) Hero is SB with J Q J 8

UTG calls $2, MP raises to $4, 2 folds, Hero calls $3, 1 fold, UTG calls $2


Flop: ($14.00) 3 J 9 (3 players)

Hero bets $12, UTG calls $12, MP calls $12


Turn: ($50.00) 5 (3 players)

Hero bets $43, UTG raises to $179, MP folds, Hero raises to $318.85 all in, UTG calls $139.85


River: ($687.70) T (2 players - 1 is all in)


Final Pot: $687.70

Hero shows J Q J 8 (a straight, Queen high)

UTG shows 9 9 Q 8 (a straight, Queen high)

Hero wins $342.35

UTG wins $342.35

(Rake: $3.00)


Ditto. 85% on the flop, 94% on the turn.

Some winning hands in between means I finished down less than 3 buy-ins - a sneeze in PLO - but it could've been a pretty good day.

Hope I keep running good at NL.